Pre-tourney Rankings
San Diego St.
Mountain West
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.3#28
Expected Predictive Rating+11.2#40
Pace68.7#139
Improvement-1.3#229

Offense
Total Offense+3.6#80
Improvement-0.8#201

Defense
Total Defense+8.7#9
Improvement-0.5#202
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.8% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 97.3% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 97.3% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.4% n/a n/a
First Round97.2% n/a n/a
Second Round50.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen16.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight7.1% n/a n/a
Final Four2.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.8% n/a n/a
National Champion0.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 8 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2012 11   Syracuse L 49-62 39%     0 - 1 +2.3 -20.4 +23.7
  Nov 17, 2012 197   @ Missouri St. W 60-44 84%     1 - 1 +17.6 -11.9 +29.9
  Nov 21, 2012 281   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 79-43 97%     2 - 1 +25.4 -0.2 +23.9
  Nov 25, 2012 100   @ USC W 66-60 67%     3 - 1 +13.9 +1.2 +12.9
  Dec 01, 2012 40   UCLA W 78-69 57%     4 - 1 +19.6 +8.8 +10.7
  Dec 03, 2012 170   Texas Southern W 74-62 92%     5 - 1 +8.5 -5.2 +13.1
  Dec 06, 2012 205   UC Santa Barbara W 84-70 94%     6 - 1 +8.7 +16.1 -6.5
  Dec 15, 2012 162   San Diego W 72-56 92%     7 - 1 +12.9 +7.2 +7.9
  Dec 22, 2012 136   San Francisco W 80-58 83%     8 - 1 +24.1 +13.3 +12.8
  Dec 23, 2012 96   Indiana St. W 62-55 76%     9 - 1 +11.9 -4.3 +16.5
  Dec 25, 2012 18   Arizona L 67-68 45%     9 - 2 +12.6 +0.6 +11.9
  Jan 02, 2013 238   Cal St. Bakersfield W 72-57 96%     10 - 2 +7.4 -1.8 +9.6
  Jan 09, 2013 99   @ Fresno St. W 65-62 66%     11 - 2 1 - 0 +11.0 +10.0 +1.5
  Jan 12, 2013 24   Colorado St. W 79-72 OT 61%     12 - 2 2 - 0 +16.4 +0.6 +15.3
  Jan 16, 2013 31   UNLV L 75-82 64%     12 - 3 2 - 1 +1.7 +5.3 -3.2
  Jan 19, 2013 89   @ Wyoming L 45-58 64%     12 - 4 2 - 2 -4.4 -19.8 +14.8
  Jan 23, 2013 149   @ Nevada W 78-57 78%     13 - 4 3 - 2 +25.1 +5.5 +19.6
  Jan 26, 2013 16   New Mexico W 55-34 57%     14 - 4 4 - 2 +31.6 -3.1 +37.8
  Feb 02, 2013 85   @ Air Force L 67-70 63%     14 - 5 4 - 3 +5.9 +0.8 +4.8
  Feb 06, 2013 47   Boise St. W 63-62 70%     15 - 5 5 - 3 +7.8 +1.0 +7.0
  Feb 09, 2013 99   Fresno St. W 75-53 84%     16 - 5 6 - 3 +23.5 +9.9 +14.5
  Feb 13, 2013 24   @ Colorado St. L 60-66 36%     16 - 6 6 - 4 +9.9 -2.7 +12.0
  Feb 16, 2013 31   @ UNLV L 70-72 39%     16 - 7 6 - 5 +13.2 +2.2 +11.1
  Feb 19, 2013 89   Wyoming W 79-51 83%     17 - 7 7 - 5 +30.2 +14.5 +17.8
  Feb 23, 2013 149   Nevada W 88-75 91%     18 - 7 8 - 5 +10.6 +13.6 -2.8
  Feb 27, 2013 16   @ New Mexico L 60-70 32%     18 - 8 8 - 6 +7.0 +3.6 +2.4
  Mar 06, 2013 85   Air Force W 58-51 82%     19 - 8 9 - 6 +9.4 -10.9 +21.2
  Mar 09, 2013 47   @ Boise St. L 65-69 46%     19 - 9 9 - 7 +9.3 -3.2 +12.5
  Mar 13, 2013 47   Boise St. W 73-67 59%     20 - 9 +16.1 -2.3 +18.0
  Mar 15, 2013 16   New Mexico L 50-60 44%     20 - 10 +3.8 -6.5 +8.7
Projected Record 20.0 - 10.0 9.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 97.3% 97.3% 8.9 0.0 0.8 6.3 28.3 32.3 22.7 6.5 0.4 2.7 97.3%
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 97.3% 0.0% 97.3% 8.9 0.0 0.8 6.3 28.3 32.3 22.7 6.5 0.4 2.7 97.3%